ESPYS: Awards show, Jul 16, 2025
Kalshi What will Shane Gillis say during the Opening Monologue at the 2025 ESPYs?
Markets
42 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bill Belichick | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Caitlin | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eagle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Epstein | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Norm Macdonald | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Army | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Betting | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bieber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coach | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Controversy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Cunningham | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Deshaun Watson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Diddy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DUI | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Edmund fitzgerald | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| File | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Flagg | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Football | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freak | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gambling | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gordon Lightfoot | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| John Cena | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Jordon Hudson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Lebron | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marine | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Massage / Massage Parlor | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Netflix | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| OJ / Simpson | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pennsylvania | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Philadelphia | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Podcast | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Reese | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Robert Kraft | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rookie | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Schulz | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Special Olympics | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tires | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXGILLISESPYS-25JUL16 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP