ESPYS: Awards show, Jul 17, 2025

Thu, Jul 17Awards showHistory onlyESPYS

Updated

Markets

8 words · 1 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Epstein Yes–new new word, no probability yet–
Bieber No–new new word, no probability yet–
Football No–new new word, no probability yet–
Freak No–new new word, no probability yet–
Gay No–new new word, no probability yet–
LeBron No–new new word, no probability yet–
Philadelphia No–new new word, no probability yet–
Retard/retarded No–new new word, no probability yet–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-shane-gillis-say-during-espys-opening-monologue · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP