Will “Trump” be said on ESPYS next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on ESPYS in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

27%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

ESPYS

Trump

Probability
27% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for ESPYS yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Shane Gillis say during ESPYs Opening Monologue? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Shane Gillis say during the Opening Monologue at the 2025 ESPYs? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 15, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jul 16, 2025TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Trump” said on ESPYS?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Trump” was said on ESPYS in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jul 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Jul 16, 2025.
What is the probability “Trump” is said on ESPYS next time?
27%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “ESPYS: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/espys/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=espys&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=espys&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP