ESPYS: Awards show, Jul 15, 2026
Kalshi What will Marcello Hernández say during his ESPYS Opening Monologue?
Markets
14 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brunson | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Curry | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Knick / Knicks | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| World Cup | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Olympic / Olympics | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| LeBron | Yes | 18%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Caitlin Clark | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golf / Golfer / Golfing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Harry Kane | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Messi / Ronaldo | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Seahawks | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SNL / Saturday Night Live | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXAWARDMENTION-26JUL15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP