Will “Surprise” be said on Big Brother next time?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Surprise” was said on Big Brother in 11 of 18 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (61%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 64% (n=18, from settlement history), not a forecast.

64%from settlement history only · n=18counts: anyone
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 4 times
Counts
anyone
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=big-brother&word=surprise

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Big Brother

Surprise

Probability
64% · n=18
Settled
11/18 (61%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for Big Brother yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will be said during Episode 41 of Big Brother? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during Episode 40 of Big Brother? · settled yes

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What will be said during Episode 39 of Big Brother? · settled yes

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What will be said during Episode 38 of Big Brother? · settled yes

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What will be said during Episode 37 of Big Brother? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will be said during Episode 36 of Big Brother? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during Episode 35 of Big Brother? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during Episode 34 of Big Brother? · settled no

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What will be said during Episode 33 of Big Brother? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will be said during Episode 32 of Big Brother? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 18 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 27, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 25, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 24, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 23, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 20, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Sep 18, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 17, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 16, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Sep 13, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 10, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 9, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Sep 6, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Sep 4, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 3, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Sep 2, 2026SurprisePolymarketYes
Aug 30, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Aug 27, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo
Aug 26, 2026SurprisePolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “Surprise” said on Big Brother?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Surprise” was said on Big Brother in 11 of 18 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 26, 2026 (61%), most recently on Sep 27, 2026.
What is the probability “Surprise” is said on Big Brother next time?
64%, from settlement history (n=18). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Big Brother: ‘Surprise’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/entertainment/big-brother/words/surprise (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=big-brother&word=surprise · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=big-brother&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP