Big Brother: Episode, Sep 16, 2026

Wed, Sep 16EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Final Yes73%n=10 from settlement history–
Veto 5+ timesYes45%n=10 from settlement history–
Family Yes37%n=10 from settlement history–
Sleep Yes24%n=10 from settlement history–
Date Yes19%n=10 from settlement history–
Blind No68%n=10 from settlement history–
Jury No65%n=25 from settlement history–
Surprise No52%n=10 from settlement history–
Pawn No46%n=10 from settlement history–
Blood No32%n=10 from settlement history–
Joke No25%n=10 from settlement history–
Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote No24%n=10 from settlement history–
Coffee No20%n=10 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-34-of-big-brother-20260916 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP