Big Brother: Episode, Sep 18, 2026

Fri, Sep 18EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Final Yes74%n=12 from settlement history–
Blind Yes61%n=12 from settlement history–
Jury Yes59%n=27 from settlement history–
Family Yes52%n=12 from settlement history–
Surprise Yes51%n=12 from settlement history–
Veto 5+ timesNo56%n=12 from settlement history–
Pawn No35%n=12 from settlement history–
Sleep No31%n=12 from settlement history–
Date No28%n=12 from settlement history–
Blood No26%n=12 from settlement history–
Joke No21%n=12 from settlement history–
Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote No21%n=12 from settlement history–
Coffee No18%n=12 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-36-of-big-brother-20260918 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP