Big Brother: Episode, Sep 23, 2026

Wed, Sep 23EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

13 words · 5 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Final Yes74%n=14 from settlement history–
Veto 5+ timesYes53%n=14 from settlement history–
Jury Yes52%n=29 from settlement history–
Family Yes48%n=14 from settlement history–
Surprise Yes47%n=14 from settlement history–
Blind No53%n=14 from settlement history–
Sleep No38%n=14 from settlement history–
Pawn No27%n=14 from settlement history–
Date No23%n=14 from settlement history–
Blood No22%n=14 from settlement history–
Joke No19%n=14 from settlement history–
Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote No19%n=14 from settlement history–
Coffee No17%n=14 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-38-of-big-brother-20260923 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP