Big Brother: Episode, Sep 2, 2026

Wed, Sep 2EpisodeHistory onlyBig Brother

Updated

Markets

13 words · 8 settled yes

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultProbabilityMarket
Final Yes63%n=3 from settlement history–
Jury Yes56%n=18 from settlement history–
Blood Yes50%n=3 from settlement history–
Flip the Vote / Flipped the Vote Yes46%n=3 from settlement history–
Veto 5+ timesYes46%n=3 from settlement history–
Coffee Yes22%n=3 from settlement history–
Pawn Yes22%n=3 from settlement history–
Surprise Yes22%n=3 from settlement history–
Family No63%n=3 from settlement history–
Blind No53%n=3 from settlement history–
Joke No39%n=3 from settlement history–
Date No36%n=3 from settlement history–
Sleep No36%n=3 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

History only. We have no transcript source for this category; the results above are how the venues settled the markets.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-be-said-during-episode-27-of-big-brother-20260902 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP