Will Home Depot say “Headwind”?

Home Depot did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Home Depot said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 19, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 29% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

29%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Home Depot

Headwind

Probability
29% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard Mc PhailcompanyqaIn transcript

…year on the button, despite the fact that we had all tariff headwinds coming at us. Yes, there's probably a little bit more uncertainty out…

Christopher HorversanalystqaIn transcript

…you maybe frame that out? Also, as you think about the storm headwinds from the back half of last year, you know, to what extent…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 19, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Richard Mc PhailcompanyqaIn transcript

…From an FX perspective, the total company had a 55 basis point headwind from FX in the first half. At current FX rates, that actually…

Billy BastekcompanyqaIn transcript

…the smaller garden projects. Think molds, think chemicals. Those were the biggest headwinds that we had as it related to just the transaction comp in…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Richard Mc PhailcompanyqaIn transcript

…one point of comp, we've got kind of two points of de-leverage headwind. Two times about 10 basis points each gives you about 20 basis…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 18, 2026HeadwindKalshiNo0
May 19, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Home Depot say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Home Depot did not say “Headwind” on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Home Depot say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Home Depot said “Headwind” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 19, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 19, 2026.
What is the probability Home Depot says “Headwind” next time?
29%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Home Depot: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/HD/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=home-depot&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=home-depot&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP