Home Depot (HD): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025

On its Nov 18, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Home Depot said 4 of the 10 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

10 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Innovation Yes55✓75%transcripts from the transcript model–
Synergy Yes44✓46%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes22✓74%transcripts from the transcript model–
Black Friday Yes22✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Inflation No01✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Volatility No01✓43%transcripts from the transcript model–
Competition / Competitor No00✓42%transcripts from the transcript model–
E-commerce / Ecommerce No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Revenue No01✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No02✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

William Bastekcompany“Innovation” · prepared

…of vendors across categories who continue to transform the industry with the innovation they bring to our customers on a daily basis. They include […

Edward Deckercompany“Synergy” · qa

…operating cost in the inverse with wholesale. Of course, as we drive synergies between the two platforms, and the most important synergy is the cross-sell…

William Bastekcompany“Tariff” · qa

…mentioned, in our Q2 call after some policy changes were made around tariffs, we would take some moderate price moves with the entire strategy to…

William Bastekcompany“Black Friday” · prepared

…looking forward to the excitement we will bring with our annual holiday, Black Friday and Gift Center events. In our Gift Center event, we continue…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/home-depot:2025-11-18:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=home-depot:2025-11-18:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP