Will Home Depot say “Inflation”?

Home Depot did not say “Inflation” on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 3, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Home Depot said “Inflation” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

34%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 17, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
46¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Home Depot

Inflation

Probability
34% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last calls
said in 4 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY27 Q2 earnings call, Aug 18, 2026 · not said

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FY27 Q1 earnings call, May 19, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q4 earnings call, Feb 24, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Richard Mc PhailcompanypreparedIn transcript

…customers also tell us they have concerns over general economic uncertainty, including inflation, growing job concerns, and higher financing costs. As we look ahead to…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 18, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 19, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Billy BastekcompanypreparedIn transcript

…comp average ticket primarily reflects the greater mix of higher ticket items, inflation from core commodity categories, including lumber and copper, and a modest decrease…

Christopher HorversanalystqaIn transcript

…like the hurricane lift was pretty similar, but then, you know, ticket inflation given inventory receipts and seasonal probably accelerates over the year. But then…

Not counted under the usual rule (company speakers + operator); this word was not listed here.

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 20, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Billy BastekcompanypreparedIn transcript

…our comp average ticket was essentially flat, and comp transactions decreased 0.5%. Inflation from core commodity categories positively impacted our average ticket by approximately 30…

Ted DeckercompanyqaIn transcript

…TCE grew nicely in April after a very strong March print in inflation, you know, is trending down toward 2% in April. Home prices also…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 25, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 12, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 18, 2026InflationPolymarketYes1
Aug 18, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
May 19, 2026InflationKalshiNo0
Feb 24, 2026InflationKalshiYes1
Nov 18, 2025InflationKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Home Depot say “Inflation” on its last earnings call?
Home Depot did not say “Inflation” on its Aug 18, 2026 call (FY27 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 2, 3, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Home Depot say “Inflation”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Home Depot said “Inflation” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Nov 18, 2025 (50%), most recently on Aug 18, 2026.
What is the probability Home Depot says “Inflation” next time?
34%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Home Depot: ‘Inflation’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/HD/words/inflation (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=home-depot&word=inflation · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=home-depot&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP