Will “Smartphone” be said on All-In Podcast next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Smartphone” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 25% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Sep 11, 2026 – Oct 16, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, anyone) in 0.
25%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All-In Podcast
Smartphone
- Probability
- 25% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 0 of 4
Next listing counts: anyone
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Smartphone |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Smartphone | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Smartphone | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Smartphone | Polymarket | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Smartphone” said on All-In Podcast?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Smartphone” was not said on All-In Podcast in any of the 4 episodes with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 11, 2026.
- What is the probability “Smartphone” is said on All-In Podcast next time?
- 25%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “All-In Podcast: ‘Smartphone’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/podcasts/all-in-podcast/words/smartphone (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-podcast&word=smartphone · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-podcast&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP