# Special Report (special-report-with-bret-baier) · tv_episode 2026-06-16 · 12 words · K k:KXSPECIALREPORTMENTION-26JUN16 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:19:02Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-16 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSPECIALREPORTMENTION-26JUN16 ({word} = w of K rows): If John Thune says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	p	res
Election	election	1	0	0		0.45	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0		0.45	no
American Dream	american dream	1	0	0		0.39	no
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0		0.39	yes
FISA / Surveillance	fisa|surveillance	1	0	0		0.39	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0		0.39	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	0	0		0.39	yes
NATO	nato	1	0	0		0.39	no
Nuclear	nuclear	1	0	0		0.39	yes
World Cup	world cup	1	0	0		0.39	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	1	0	0		0.35	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		0.33	no