# Saturday Night Live (saturday-night-live) · tv_episode 2025-11-02 · 13 words · K k:KXSNLMENTION-25NOV02 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:22:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-02 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXSNLMENTION-25NOV02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Miles Teller says {word} as part of Saturday Night Live starting on November 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	4	3	0.75	nYYY	0.53	hist	yes
Nervous	nervous	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.26	hist	no
New York City	new york city	2	0	0	nn	0.21	hist	no
Taylor / Swift	swift|taylor	3	0	0	nnn	0.19	hist	no
ChatGPT	chatgpt	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Eternity	eternity	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Hollywood	hollywood	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Philadelphia / Philly	philadelphia|philly	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Tom Cruise	tom cruise	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Top Gun	top gun	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Whiplash	whiplash	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	0	0			0.31	prior	no