# Mike Pence (mike-pence) · interview 2026-04-23 · 15 words · K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR23 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:50:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-23 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPOLITICSMENTION-26APR23 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Pence says {word} as part of MS NOW: Morning Joe , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.44	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	0	0		0.44	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0		0.44	no
Election	election	0	0		0.44	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0		0.44	no
ICE / Border	border|ice	0	0		0.44	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0		0.44	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	0	0		0.44	no
National Security	national security	0	0		0.44	no
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0		0.44	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0		0.44	no
Planned Parenthood	planned parenthood	0	0		0.44	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	0	0		0.44	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	no