# Stephen A. Smith (stephen-a-smith) · interview 2026-05-08 · 14 words · K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY08 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:49:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-08 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXPERSONMENTION-26MAY08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Stephen A. Smith says {word} as part of ESPN: First Take on May 8th , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran	iran	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	2	1	0.5	nY	0.44	hist	no
Democrat	democrat	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.43	hist	no
LeBron	lebron	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	yes
Bronny	bronny	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Cowboys	cowboy	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	0	0			0.41	prior	no
GOAT	goat	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Jaylen / Brown	brown|jaylen	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
MJ / Jordan	jordan|mj	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
MVP	mvp	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Tom Brady	tom brady	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Trump / President	president|trump	0	0			0.41	prior	yes