Jack Smith: Hearing, Jan 23, 2026
Kalshi What will Jack Smith say during the testimony on his Trump investigations?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Classified | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Criminal | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Insurrection | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| January 6 | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mike Pence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Retribution | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weaponize / Weaponization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCONGRESSMENTION-26JAN23B · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP