Will Jack Smith say “Mike Pence”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Jack Smith said “Mike Pence” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
49%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Jack Smith
Mike Pence
- Probability
- 49% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Jack Smith yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2026 | Mike Pence |  Kalshi | No |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Mike Pence | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Jack Smith say “Mike Pence”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Jack Smith said “Mike Pence” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 23, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 22, 2026.
- What is the probability Jack Smith says “Mike Pence” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Jack Smith: ‘Mike Pence’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jack-smith/words/mike-pence (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jack-smith&word=mike%20pence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jack-smith&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP