# Jack Smith (jack-smith) · hearing 2026-01-23 · 12 words · K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26JAN23B · as_of 2026-10-26T05:56:04Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-23 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXCONGRESSMENTION-26JAN23B ({word} = w of K rows): If Jack Smith says {word} as part of Oversight of the Office of Special Counsel Jack Smith, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Classified	classified	0	0		0.39	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0		0.39	yes
Criminal	criminal	0	0		0.39	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	0	0		0.39	no
Democracy	democracy	0	0		0.39	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.39	yes
Insurrection	insurrection	0	0		0.39	yes
January 6	january 6	0	0		0.39	yes
Mike Pence	mike pence	0	0		0.39	yes
Retribution	retribution	0	0		0.39	yes
Tax	tax	0	0		0.39	no
Weaponize / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize	0	0		0.39	no