# Bernie Sanders (bernie-sanders) · speech 2026-01-02 · 17 words · K k:KXBERNIEMENTION-26JAN02 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:31:34Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-02 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXBERNIEMENTION-26JAN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Bernie Sanders says {word} as part of ceremonial inauguration at City Hall on January 1st, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
One Percent	one percent	4	4	1	YYYY	0.67	hist	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	7	6	0.86	YYYYnYY	0.66	hist	no
Billionaire	billionaire	3	3	1	YYY	0.64	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	no
Working Class	working class	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	no
Paycheck to Paycheck	paycheck to paycheck	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.56	hist	yes
AOC / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez	alexandria ocasio cortez|aoc	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	2	1	0.5	nY	0.47	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
ICE	ice	7	2	0.29	nnYYnnn	0.36	hist	no
Authoritarian	authoritarian	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	2	0	0	nn	0.32	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	4	0	0	nnnn	0.26	hist	no
Grocery	grocery	0	0			0.45	prior	yes