Will “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” be said on All In next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

45%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

All In with Chris Hayes

Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting

Probability
45% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 7 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

ads and promosotherAll In with Chris Hayes (MS NOW), September 15, 2026 · Sep 15, 2026 · 5:22In transcript

Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.

Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.

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What will James Talarico say during MS NOW: All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Elizabeth Warren say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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What will Mamdani say during All in with Chris Hayes? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 24, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiNo0
May 27, 2026Redistrict / Redistricted / RedistrictingKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” said on All In?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
What is the probability “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” is said on All In next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/redistrict-or-redistricted-or-redistricting (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=redistrict%20%2F%20redistricted%20%2F%20redistricting · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP