Will “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAll In with Chris Hayes
Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting
- Probability
- 45% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 0 | |
| May 27, 2026 | Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” said on All In?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 27, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting” is said on All In next time?
- 45%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/redistrict-or-redistricted-or-redistricting (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=redistrict%20%2F%20redistricted%20%2F%20redistricting · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP