Will “Supreme Court” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Supreme Court” was said on All In in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 42% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Supreme Court
- Probability
- 42% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Supreme Court |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 27, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 21, 2026 | Supreme Court | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Supreme Court” said on All In?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Supreme Court” was said on All In in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Supreme Court” is said on All In next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Supreme Court’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/supreme-court (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=supreme%20court · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP