Will “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional
- Probability
- 47% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2026 | Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 21, 2026 | Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” said on All In?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on May 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” is said on All In next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/constitution-or-constitutional-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP