The Beat with Ari Melber (MS NOW), October 27, 2026
On the Oct 27, 2026 episode of The Beat with Ari Melber, 6 of the 16 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 16 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
16 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 16- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | Yes | 11 | 38 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Republican | Yes | 5 | 29 | ✓ | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Healthcare | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 59%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Tariff | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 40%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billionaire | Yes | 1 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 0 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vivek / Ramaswamy | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Energy / Electricity | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 30%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 28%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 28, 2026 02:33 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/the-beat-with-ari-melber:2026-10-27:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=the-beat-with-ari-melber:2026-10-27:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP