Will “Corrupt / Corruption” be said on The Beat next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said on The Beat in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 45% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 25, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.

45%from settlement history only · n=4counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Beat with Ari Melber

Corrupt / Corruption

Probability
45% · n=4
Settled
2/4 (50%)
Last 2 episodes
said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Abdul El-Sayed say during The Beat with Ari Melber? · not said

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What will Troy Jackson say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · not said

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What will Cory Booker say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Hakeem Jeffries say during MS NOW: The Beat with Ari Melber? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 1, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Aug 25, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–
Jun 10, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes–

Questions

How often is “Corrupt / Corruption” said on The Beat?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said on The Beat in 2 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 10, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jul 14, 2026.
What is the probability “Corrupt / Corruption” is said on The Beat next time?
45%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP