Will “Trump” be said on The Beat next time?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 25, 2026.
Of the last 2 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 25, 2026 – Oct 1, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Beat with Ari Melber
Trump
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 2 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 32 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Trump |  Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often is “Trump” said on The Beat?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said on The Beat in the only episode with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Aug 25, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump” is said on The Beat next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Beat: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-beat-with-ari-melber/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-beat-with-ari-melber&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP