Goldman Sachs (GS): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026

On its Oct 13, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Goldman Sachs said 7 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

14 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Uncertainty Yes55✓89%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:23, Uncertainty–
Tailwind Yes33✓82%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:10, Tailwind–
Private Credit Yes34✓81%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 1:02:02, Private Credit–
Buyback / Buy Back Yes11✓75%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 39:40, Buyback / Buy Back–
Regulation Yes11✓60%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 18:50, Regulation–
Capital Solutions Yes11✓58%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 48:47, Capital Solutions–
Iran / Middle East Yes11✓36%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:34, Iran / Middle East–
Industry Ventures No00✓72%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Pipeline No01✓61%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Innovator No00✓59%transcripts from the transcript model–
SpaceX No00✓47%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Recession No00✓38%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Marcus No00✓36%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓13%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Europe”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

David Solomoncompanyprepared · 2:04Hear it 1:58, David Solomon

…points of additional tightening in this cycle across the U.S., U.K., and Europe. Despite these crosscurrents, the health of the underlying U.S. economy has remained…

Where the listed words were said

David Solomoncompany“Uncertainty” · prepared · 8:09Hear it 8:07, David Solomon

…Goldman Sachs with an even stronger foundation for growth. Looking forward, though uncertainty persists, corporates and investors recognize that standing still can be a competitive…

David Solomoncompany“Tailwind” · prepared · 6:12Hear it 6:06, David Solomon

…management business remains very well positioned for continued growth amid attractive secular tailwinds. At the same time, we are also inorganically accelerating growth and building…

David Solomoncompany“Private Credit” · qa · 1:02:04Hear it 1:02:03, David Solomon

When you look at private credit, for example, one of the things we've benefited from is we've been in this business for 40 years. Institutional…

Denis Colemancompany“Buyback / Buy Back” · qa · 39:42Hear it 39:38, Denis Coleman

…as well. We were generating significant earnings that enabled us both to buy back the stock, buy down our share count, give us capacity to…

Denis Colemancompany“Regulation” · prepared · 18:52Hear it 18:49, Denis Coleman

We expect regulatory focus to soon shift towards liquidity regulation reform. We currently have over $570 billion in average global core liquid assets, representing approximately…

Denis Colemancompany“Capital Solutions” · qa · 48:49Hear it 48:48, Denis Coleman

…into the public and private debt and equity markets. We obviously, through Capital Solutions, have the capacity to underwrite and distribute. To also put certain…

David Solomoncompany“Iran / Middle East” · prepared · 1:36Hear it 1:30, David Solomon

…began with optimism around a potential resolution of the conflict in the Middle East, renewed geopolitical tensions and continued disruption of energy flows added complexity…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/goldman-sachs:2026-10-13:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=goldman-sachs:2026-10-13:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP