Will Goldman Sachs say “Uncertainty”?
Goldman Sachs said “Uncertainty” 5 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 13, 7, 1, 1, 7, 1, 5 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Uncertainty” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Goldman Sachs
Uncertainty
- Probability
- 91% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…on the advice, execution, and intermediation expertise of Goldman Sachs to navigate uncertainty and advance their most important strategic priorities. In global banking and markets,…
…Goldman Sachs with an even stronger foundation for growth. Looking forward, though uncertainty persists, corporates and investors recognize that standing still can be a competitive…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…there'll be bumps and there'll be recalibrations because there's a lot of uncertainty around how not only is the infrastructure going to be built, but…
Counts: company speakers + operator
7 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…increased meaningfully amid concerns around AI-driven disruption in sectors like software, heightened uncertainty in parts of private credit, and the conflict in the Middle East.…
…differentiates Goldman Sachs and what clients rely on, particularly in periods of uncertainty. We pride ourselves on being a trusted advisor and providing timely and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Uncertainty |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Uncertainty | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Uncertainty | Kalshi | Yes | 7 |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Uncertainty | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Uncertainty | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How many times did Goldman Sachs say “Uncertainty” on its last earnings call?
- Goldman Sachs said “Uncertainty” 5 times on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 5, 13, 7, 1, 1, 7, 1, 5 times.
- How often does Goldman Sachs say “Uncertainty”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Uncertainty” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Goldman Sachs says “Uncertainty” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Goldman Sachs: ‘Uncertainty’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GS/words/uncertainty (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=goldman-sachs&word=uncertainty · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=goldman-sachs&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP