Will Goldman Sachs say “Recession”?
Goldman Sachs did not say “Recession” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Recession” on 1 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 15¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Goldman Sachs
Recession
- Probability
- 35% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A).
…normal credit cycle, meaning a meaningful slowdown in the economy or a recession. Whenever you have a meaningful slowdown in the economy or a recession,…
…things that happens if we had a slowdown in the economy or recession where credit spreads widened, the business actually for institutional investors becomes more…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…has fallen meaningfully from over 2% to 0.5%. The prospect of a recession has increased with growing indications that economic activity is slowing down around…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Goldman Sachs say “Recession” on its last earnings call?
- Goldman Sachs did not say “Recession” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 4, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Goldman Sachs say “Recession”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Recession” on 1 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025 (20%), most recently on Apr 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Goldman Sachs says “Recession” next time?
- 35%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Goldman Sachs: ‘Recession’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GS/words/recession (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=goldman-sachs&word=recession · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=goldman-sachs&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP