Will Goldman Sachs say “Iran / Middle East”?

Goldman Sachs said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 25, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 59% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

59%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 19, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
58¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Goldman Sachs

Iran / Middle East

Probability
59% · n=1
Settled
1/1 (100%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David Solomoncompanyprepared · 1:36Hear it 1:30, David Solomon In transcript

…began with optimism around a potential resolution of the conflict in the Middle East, renewed geopolitical tensions and continued disruption of energy flows added complexity…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 13, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

David Solomoncompanyprepared · 1:56Hear it 1:50, David Solomon In transcript

…heightened uncertainty in parts of private credit, and the conflict in the Middle East. Against this backdrop, our performance underscores the importance of having a…

David Solomoncompanyqa · 28:39Hear it 28:35, David Solomon In transcript

…moment. That said, there's no question that with the conflict in the Middle East, IPO activity slowed a little bit, particularly in March. I do…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David Solomoncompanyprepared · 8:20Hear it 8:15, David Solomon In transcript

…remains uncertain. Geopolitical concerns have intensified in many regions, notably in the Middle East. A number of trade agreements have yet to materialize. And the…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026Iran / Middle EastKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Goldman Sachs say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
Goldman Sachs said “Iran / Middle East” 1 time on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 1 times.
How often does Goldman Sachs say “Iran / Middle East”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Goldman Sachs said “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability Goldman Sachs says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
59%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Goldman Sachs: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GS/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=goldman-sachs&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=goldman-sachs&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP