Goldman Sachs (GS)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 63 word markets on Goldman Sachs’ earnings calls since 2025, on 24 different words; most reliably said: “Uncertainty” (5 of 5). Next call: Jan 19, 2027 (14 words listed).
| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncertainty | 5 times: Uncertainty, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 13 times: Uncertainty, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: Uncertainty, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Uncertainty, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Uncertainty, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 7 times: Uncertainty, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Uncertainty, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 5 times: Uncertainty, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 58/8072% | 91%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 89¢ Kalshi |
| Private Credit | 2 times: Private Credit, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Private Credit, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Private Credit, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Private Credit, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Private Credit, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 10 times: Private Credit, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Private Credit, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Private Credit, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 5/862% | 4/850% | 14/8018% | 85%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 3 times: Tailwind, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Tailwind, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 3 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 5/862% | 30/8038% | 84%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 86¢ Kalshi |
| Buyback / Buy Back | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 3 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 5 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Buyback / Buy Back, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Buyback / Buy Back, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 2/825% | 37/8046% | 83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 77¢ Kalshi |
| Regulation | 2 times: Regulation, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Regulation, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Regulation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Regulation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Regulation, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 3 times: Regulation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Regulation, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 5/862% | 36/8045% | 68%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 71¢ Kalshi |
| Iran / Middle East | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 2 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 9/8011% | 59%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 58¢ Kalshi |
| Industry Ventures | 0 times: Industry Ventures, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Industry Ventures, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Industry Ventures, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 4 times: Industry Ventures, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Industry Ventures, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Industry Ventures, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Industry Ventures, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Industry Ventures, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/805% | 42%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 30¢ Kalshi |
| LCN | 0 times: LCN, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: LCN, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: LCN, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: LCN, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: LCN, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: LCN, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: LCN, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: LCN, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/801% | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | 40¢ Kalshi |
| NEOS | 0 times: NEOS, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: NEOS, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: NEOS, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: NEOS, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: NEOS, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: NEOS, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: NEOS, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: NEOS, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/801% | 40%transcripts from the transcript model | 39¢ Kalshi |
| Pipeline | 0 times: Pipeline, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Pipeline, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Pipeline, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Pipeline, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 0 times: Pipeline, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Pipeline, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Pipeline, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Pipeline, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 16/8020% | 37%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 38¢ Kalshi |
| Recession | 0 times: Recession, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Recession, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Recession, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Recession, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 4 times: Recession, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Recession, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Recession, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 2/825% | 1/812% | 7/809% | 35%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 15¢ Kalshi |
| Marcus | 0 times: Marcus, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Marcus, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Marcus, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Marcus, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Marcus, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Marcus, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Marcus, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Marcus, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 3/838% | 1/812% | 29/8036% | 32%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 14¢ Kalshi |
| SpaceX | 0 times: SpaceX, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: SpaceX, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 2 times: SpaceX, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: SpaceX, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 1/801% | 29%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 30¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/805% | 12%n=5+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 6¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Every word
1–12 of 12, most settled first| Word | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q3’25Oct '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buyback | 0 times: Buyback, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 3 times: Buyback, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Buyback, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Buyback, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 5 times: Buyback, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Buyback, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Buyback, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Buyback, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 2/825% | 37/8046% | 82%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Inflation | 0 times: Inflation, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Inflation, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Inflation, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 2 times: Inflation, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Inflation, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Inflation, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 2/825% | 31/8039% | 52%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Geopolitical | 0 times: Geopolitical, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Geopolitical, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Geopolitical, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Geopolitical, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Geopolitical, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Geopolitical, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Geopolitical, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: Geopolitical, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 4/850% | 22/8028% | 62%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Trading | 4 times: Trading, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Trading, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Trading, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Trading, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Trading, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Trading, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Trading, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Trading, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 6/875% | 1/812% | 68/8085% | 63%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Charge Off / Charge-Off | 1 time: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Charge Off / Charge-Off, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 5/862% | 4/850% | 24/8030% | 45%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Volatility | 0 times: Volatility, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 3 times: Volatility, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Volatility, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 6 times: Volatility, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 1 time: Volatility, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 7 times: Volatility, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 3 times: Volatility, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Volatility, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 6/875% | 6/875% | 69/8086% | 87%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Capital Solutions | 3 times: Capital Solutions, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Capital Solutions, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Capital Solutions, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Capital Solutions, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 2 times: Capital Solutions, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Capital Solutions, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 2 times: Capital Solutions, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Capital Solutions, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 5/862% | 4/850% | 5/806% | 70%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| IPO | 2 times: IPO, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: IPO, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: IPO, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: IPO, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 3 times: IPO, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: IPO, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: IPO, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 8 times: IPO, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 7/888% | 62/8078% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| M&A | 6 times: M&A, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 3 times: M&A, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 7 times: M&A, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 8 times: M&A, Q3’25 Oct '25, counts as said | 15 times: M&A, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 11 times: M&A, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: M&A, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: M&A, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 8/8100% | 8/8100% | 78/8098% | 94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Europe | 0 times: Europe, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 3 times: Europe, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 0 times: Europe, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Europe, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Europe, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Europe, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Europe, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Europe, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 3/838% | 2/825% | 58/8072% | 40%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Innovator | 0 times: Innovator, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Innovator, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Innovator, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Innovator, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 1 time: Innovator, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Innovator, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Innovator, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Innovator, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 3/838% | 3/838% | 5/806% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Layoff | 0 times: Layoff, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Layoff, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Layoff, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Layoff, Q3’25 Oct '25 | 0 times: Layoff, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Layoff, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Layoff, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Layoff, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 1/801% | 14%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 63 of 63 settled words resolved (100.0%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 14 | 7 yes · 7 no | 14/14 (100%) |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 8 yes · 5 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 12 yes · 1 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 11 | 8 yes · 3 no | 11/11 (100%) |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 12 | 3 yes · 9 no | 12/12 (100%) |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 14, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 15, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 16, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Goldman Sachs (GS): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GS (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/goldman-sachs · words: /api/v1/history?entity=goldman-sachs · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP