Will Goldman Sachs say “Tariff”?

Goldman Sachs did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 26, 2026, Goldman Sachs did not say “Tariff” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

12%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Jan 19, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 5 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
6¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Goldman Sachs

Tariff

Probability
12% · n=5
Settled
0/5 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 13, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 14, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 13, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 14, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 16, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

David Solomoncompanyprepared · 8:27Hear it 8:24, David Solomon In transcript

…have yet to materialize. And the ultimate impact on growth from higher tariffs is yet unknown. At the moment, there's a sense that things are…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 14, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 15, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 13, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Jul 14, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Apr 13, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Jan 15, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Oct 14, 2025TariffKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Goldman Sachs say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Goldman Sachs did not say “Tariff” on its Oct 13, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Goldman Sachs say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Goldman Sachs did not say “Tariff” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 14, 2025.
What is the probability Goldman Sachs says “Tariff” next time?
12%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Goldman Sachs: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/GS/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=goldman-sachs&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=goldman-sachs&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP