Delta (DAL): FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2026

Fri, Oct 9Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptDelta

On its Oct 9, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q3), Delta said 22 of the 29 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 29 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

29 words · 22 settled yes · our count agreed on 29 of 29

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Capacity Yes4646✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:25, Capacity–
Fuel 15+ timesYes3434✓56%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 1:53, Fuel 15+ times–
Premium Yes3131✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:12, Premium–
Loyal / Loyalty 3+ timesYes2424✓83%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 6:22, Loyal / Loyalty 3+ times–
Corporate Yes1717✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 0:30, Corporate–
Demand 5+ timesYes1515✓89%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 3:34, Demand 5+ times–
International Yes1414✓96%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:06, International–
Domestic Yes1111✓95%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:05, Domestic–
Technology Yes99✓91%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 13:10, Technology–
Partnership Yes79✓93%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:16, Partnership–
Amex / American Express Yes66✓94%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 6:29, Amex / American Express–
Lounge Yes44✓81%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 12:31, Lounge–
AI / Artificial Intelligence Yes44✓58%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 48:38, AI / Artificial Intelligence–
Cargo Yes22✓93%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 10:11, Cargo–
Acquired / Acquisition Yes22✓79%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 10:38, Acquired / Acquisition–
Headwind Yes23✓71%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 35:23, Headwind–
Weather Yes22✓49%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:49, Weather–
Amazon Yes22✓48%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 8:15, Amazon–
Shutdown / Shut Down Yes23✓43%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 35:39, Shutdown / Shut Down–
Hyatt Yes22✓18%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 7:13, Hyatt–
Guidance Yes11✓90%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 16:35, Guidance–
Oil / Gas / Gasoline Yes11✓34%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 38:37, Oil / Gas / Gasoline–
Iran / Middle East No00✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓59%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend No00✓57%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
YouTube No00✓46%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Trump No00✓26%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tailwind No00✓24%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nonstop / Non-Stop No00✓14%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

46 matches for “Capacity”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 4:27Hear it 4:21, Ed Bastian

…our measured approach to growth and broader industry actions to reduce unprofitable capacity. This year's fuel spike has accelerated change across the industry. Resilient demand…

Joe Espositocompanyprepared · 8:53Hear it 8:47, Joe Esposito

…for the Delta brand, and the benefits of our measured approach to capacity. Revenue grew to $17.6 billion, up approximately 16% over prior year on…

Joe Espositocompanyprepared · 9:28Hear it 9:22, Joe Esposito

…were one point higher than last year as we closely align our capacity growth with demand. International unit revenue grew 12%, led by growth of…

Joe Espositocompanyprepared · 10:22Hear it 10:20, Joe Esposito

…is growing in scale and value. SkyMiles membership is growing faster than capacity, and members are engaging more with Delta in the air and beyond…

Joe Espositocompanyprepared · 11:17Hear it 11:11, Joe Esposito

…for December quarter revenue growth of approximately 20% year-over-year on roughly 3% capacity growth. With seat growth below 2%, including a year-over-year reduction in Main…

Where the listed words were said

Joe Espositocompany“Capacity” · prepared · 12:26Hear it 12:22, Joe Esposito

…investments at L.A. to create a modern, connected complex with additional gate capacity and seamless access to the international terminal. We now have the most…

Ed Bastiancompany“Fuel (15+)” · prepared · 1:55Hear it 1:49, Ed Bastian

…years to reduce earnings volatility and enable us to navigate today's high fuel costs. In the September quarter, revenue grew 16%, and we delivered pre-tax…

Ed Bastiancompany“Premium” · prepared · 7:18Hear it 7:12, Ed Bastian

…we announced a new strategic relationship with Hyatt, bringing together two leading premium brands. Customer response has been strong ahead of the launch later this…

Ed Bastiancompany“Loyal / Loyalty (3+)” · prepared · 6:24Hear it 6:23, Ed Bastian

…products, and partnerships, compounding Delta's differentiation and extending our lead. Our growing loyalty ecosystem is one of the most important drivers of our structural durability.…

Operatoroperator“Corporate” · prepared · 0:32Hear it 0:27, Operator

…any time. I would now like to turn the conference over to Julie Stewart, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Please go ahead.

Ed Bastiancompany“Demand (5+)” · prepared · 3:36Hear it 3:34, Ed Bastian

…accrued $900 million towards next year's employee profit-sharing payout. Looking at the current environment, demand remains strong, supported by a secular shift in consumer behavior.

Mike Linenberganalyst“International” · qa · 25:15Hear it 25:12, Mike Linenberg

…cuts by your competitors? And if you can sort of touch on international, because I think one of the things we're watching closely are that…

Dan Jankicompany“Domestic” · prepared · 15:07Hear it 15:07, Dan Janki

Domestic NPS continues to strengthen, driven by record interaction scores with our people, expanding digital capability, and more proactive customer communication, particularly during disruptions.…

Dan Jankicompany“Technology” · prepared · 13:12Hear it 13:07, Dan Janki

…With a culture of continuous improvement and our investment in data and technology, our people keep raising the bar, strengthening reliability and driving efficiency while…

Joe Espositocompany“Partnership” · qa · 24:26Hear it 24:20, Joe Esposito

…engage through not only our own SkyMiles program, but the Amex and partnerships and products, you're really seeing a very strong ecosystem of spend in…

Ed Bastiancompany“Amex / American Express” · prepared · 6:54Hear it 6:48, Ed Bastian

…satisfaction survey last week of all airline co-brand cards, where the Delta American Express SkyMiles card swept the top three positions, with our Reserve card…

Joe Espositocompany“Lounge” · qa · 41:11Hear it 41:10, Joe Esposito

…also in the products we put out. We have a Delta One lounge, we have two Sky Clubs, and continuing to focus on that premium…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/delta:2026-10-09:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=delta:2026-10-09:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP