Will Delta say “Iran / Middle East”?

Delta did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 4, 5, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta did not say “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 53% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

53%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1Next: Earnings call, Jan 13, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
50¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Delta

Iran / Middle East

Probability
53% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).

Ed Bastiancompanyqa · 29:07Hear it 29:01, Ed Bastian In transcript

…sticky coming down given the questions that sit out there in the Middle East and other parts of the world about what kind of damage…

Ed Bastiancompanyqa · 30:43Hear it 30:37, Ed Bastian In transcript

…in line with our strategies, going into some new markets in the Middle East, such as Riyadh, bringing Tel Aviv back, as well as expanding…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 8, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 1:57Hear it 1:52, Ed Bastian In transcript

…Before we begin, I want to acknowledge the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. Our thoughts are with all those affected and we remain hopeful…

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 4:13Hear it 4:12, Ed Bastian In transcript

…showing greater resilience to macro and geopolitical uncertainty. The war in the Middle East has driven an unprecedented spike in jet fuel with prices roughly…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 13, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Glen HauensteincompanypreparedIn transcript

…build on our leading domestic foundation to expand into high-growth Asia and Middle East markets while continuing to renew our wide-body fleet with larger, more…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 9, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 10, 2025 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 9, 2026Iran / Middle EastKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Delta say “Iran / Middle East” on its last earnings call?
Delta did not say “Iran / Middle East” on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 4, 5, 0 times.
How often does Delta say “Iran / Middle East”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta did not say “Iran / Middle East” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Oct 9, 2026.
What is the probability Delta says “Iran / Middle East” next time?
53%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Delta: ‘Iran / Middle East’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DAL/words/iran-or-middle-east (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=delta&word=iran%20%2F%20middle%20east · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=delta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP