Will Delta say “Guidance”?
Delta said “Guidance” 1 time on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 6, 0, 6, 8, 3, 2, 3, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Guidance” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 86% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 89¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Delta
Guidance
- Probability
- 86% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…increase in fuel expense that was more than $500 million higher than guidance. For the quarter, our fuel price averaged $3.61 per gallon, including a…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…per share, and an operating margin of 9%, all better than the guidance that we provided at the start of the quarter. Return on invested…
…half of this year. For the full year, we are affirming the guidance that we set at the start of the year, even with a…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…that were 40% higher than last year and consistent with our January guidance even with the significant step-up in fuel and several external headwinds. Our…
…margin of 4.6% and earnings per share of $0.64, within our initial guidance range. Fuel prices averaged $2.62 per gallon, including a $0.06 benefit from…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown
Kalshi
PolymarketQuestions
- How many times did Delta say “Guidance” on its last earnings call?
- Delta said “Guidance” 1 time on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 6, 0, 6, 8, 3, 2, 3, 1 times.
- How often does Delta say “Guidance”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Guidance” on 5 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (100%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Delta says “Guidance” next time?
- 86%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Delta: ‘Guidance’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DAL/words/guidance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=delta&word=guidance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=delta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP