Will Delta say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Delta said “Shutdown / Shut Down” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 4, 0, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Shutdown / Shut Down” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 42¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Delta
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 60% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…will obviously be a very strong month as we lap the government shutdown. We saw the pressure from the government shutdown, it went from October…
…back last year, mid-November had a pretty big headwind from the government shutdown, forced cancellations, lots of crazy media coverage around that. Can you speak…
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…were consistent with our expectations outside of the impact of the government shutdown. For the full year, we recorded record revenue of $58.3 billion, an…
…than in 2024, including about two points of impact from the government shutdown on capacity growth of 1%. Consistent with the full year, diverse revenue…
Counts: company speakers + operator
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…who are keeping our system safe and secure during the ongoing government shutdown. Thank you for your professionalism and your commitment to the traveling public.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jul 10, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Shutdown / Shut Down | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How many times did Delta say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Delta said “Shutdown / Shut Down” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 2, 4, 0, 0, 2 times.
- How often does Delta say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Shutdown / Shut Down” on 2 of 4 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
- What is the probability Delta says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 60%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Delta: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DAL/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=delta&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=delta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP