Will Delta say “Weather”?

Delta said “Weather” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 2, 0, 1, 2, 0, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Weather” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 68% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

68%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Jan 13, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
70¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Delta

Weather

Probability
68% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 2:51Hear it 2:46, Ed Bastian In transcript

…continue to strengthen the resilience of our operation with good progress on weather recovery, despite a challenging operating environment this summer. We expect to further…

Dan Jankicompanyprepared · 13:36Hear it 13:32, Dan Janki In transcript

…results and better disruption recovery. Those results were meaningfully important given persistent weather and ATC delays that our people navigated during the quarter. More than…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 8, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 6:58Hear it 6:53, Ed Bastian In transcript

…At the same time, over the past several months, particularly following severe weather, our reliability and recovery haven't met consistently enough our high standards. We…

Daniel Jankicompanyqa · 41:36Hear it 41:30, Daniel Janki In transcript

…doubt when you're flying more intensive operation, and as you see with weather, some of that will be highlighted more. But we expect to make…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 13, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Dan JankicompanypreparedIn transcript

…by $200 million, or 25¢ per share. The FAA-mandated flight reduction and weather disruption impacted nonfuel unit cost growth by about one point. For the…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 9, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 10, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 9, 2026WeatherKalshiYes2
Jul 10, 2026WeatherKalshiNo0
Apr 8, 2026WeatherKalshiYes2
Jan 13, 2026WeatherPolymarketYes1
Jan 13, 2026WeatherKalshiYes1
Oct 9, 2025WeatherKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Delta say “Weather” on its last earnings call?
Delta said “Weather” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 1, 2, 2, 0, 1, 2, 0, 2 times.
How often does Delta say “Weather”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Weather” on 3 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 9, 2025 (60%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
What is the probability Delta says “Weather” next time?
68%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Delta: ‘Weather’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DAL/words/weather (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=delta&word=weather · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=delta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP