Will Delta say “Headwind”?

Delta said “Headwind” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 1, 2 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Headwind” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 73% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

73%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 13, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Delta

Headwind

Probability
73% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

2 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Joe Espositocompanyqa · 35:25Hear it 35:19, Joe Esposito In transcript

…year, last year we had said it was about 2 points of headwind for the quarter. So, we expect to have unit revenue progression from…

Duane Pfennigwerthanalystqa · 34:57Hear it 34:51, Duane Pfennigwerth In transcript

…the fourth quarter playing back last year, mid-November had a pretty big headwind from the government shutdown, forced cancellations, lots of crazy media coverage around…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 6:05Hear it 5:59, Ed Bastian In transcript

…set at the start of the year, even with a multibillion-dollar fuel headwind. Our outlook for earnings of $6.50-$7.50 per share represents growth of 20%…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 8, 2026 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 2:23Hear it 2:17, Ed Bastian In transcript

…January guidance even with the significant step-up in fuel and several external headwinds. Our strong results were driven by record revenue, which grew nearly 10%,…

Ed Bastiancompanyprepared · 5:46Hear it 5:40, Ed Bastian In transcript

…recapturing 40% to 50% of the more than $2 billion of fuel headwind in the quarter. With that, we expect to deliver 6% to 8%…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 13, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 9, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 10, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 9, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 10, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 9, 2026HeadwindPolymarketYes3
Oct 9, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes2
Jul 10, 2026HeadwindKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Delta say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
Delta said “Headwind” 2 times on its Oct 9, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 5 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 2, 0, 2, 1, 2 times.
How often does Delta say “Headwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Delta said “Headwind” on 2 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 9, 2026.
What is the probability Delta says “Headwind” next time?
73%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Delta: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/DAL/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=delta&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=delta&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP