Will “Tariff” be said on All In next time?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Tariff” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 7 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 6, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word did not reach the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
All In with Chris Hayes
Tariff
- Probability
- 46% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 7 episodes
- said in 0 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 3 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Tariff” said on All In?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Tariff” was said on All In in 1 of 2 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Sep 21, 2026.
- What is the probability “Tariff” is said on All In next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “All In: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/all-in-with-chris-hayes/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=all-in-with-chris-hayes&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP