ABC World News Tonight, September 22, 2026
On the Sep 22, 2026 episode of ABC World News Tonight, 10 of the 17 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
17 words · 10 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17- Kalshi: any host or reporter
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 20 | 20 | ✓ | 62%n=42 from settlement history | – |
| Iran 3+ times | Yes | 13 | 13 | ✓ | 46%n=51 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 58%n=39 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 33%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 35%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| UN / United Nations | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ICE | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 39%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Lionel Richie | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese / Xi | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| DoorDash | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| CNN / MS NOW / Politico | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| First Amendment | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Zohran / Mamdani | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| FAA / Air Traffic Control / Air Traffic Controller | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Superintelligence / Super Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Greenland | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic / Wegovy | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · ABC World News Tonight podcast audio (ABC), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
Where the listed words were said
…Plus every night. Tonight, breaking news in New York City involving President Trump at the U.N. and the Nor'easter that could now be barreling up…
The war with Iran, gas and oil prices, what he says must be done in the Strait of Hormuz. And we asked the French president…
…war in Iran, what he says must be done to bring down oil and gas prices. We ask about Vladimir Putin, Ukraine, the threat of…
This card in their hand, the power over the Strait of Hormuz. The power to block Hormuz. So this is why, for me, the main…
…and the security. We have war in the Middle East. We have AI and all this technological race, not to fix, but to coordinate and…
…on the world stage delivering a stark new warning to Iran tonight in front of world leaders at the U.N. here in New York City.
…on looks maxing what he's now accused of. Newly released body camera video tonight showing the moments after the ice shooting of a DoorDash driver.
…back here on the news tonight, there is news coming in on Lionel Richie hospitalized, undergoing heart surgery and what we're learning at this hour.
…And you think that that's possible when we're witnessing this race between the US and China and President Trump has called these concerns a hoax?
…Kaczorski reporting tonight. Aaron, thanks. Tonight, newly released body camera video showing the moments after the ice shooting of a DoorDash driver in Austin, Texas.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/world-news-tonight:2026-09-22:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=world-news-tonight:2026-09-22:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP