Fox News Sunday, September 13, 2026
On the Sep 13, 2026 episode of Fox News Sunday, 3 of the 15 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 15 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
15 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 15- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Election | Yes | 0 | 8 | ✗ | 38%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | Yes | 0 | 5 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | 0 | 46 | ✗ | 12%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 19 | ✓ | 40%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 0 | 10 | ✓ | 34%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 10 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump 3+ times | No | 0 | 26 | ✓ | 33%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Bipartisan / Bipartisanship | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vaccine / Vaccination | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Racism / Racist | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricting / Redistricted | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| 2028 / Campaign | No | 0 | 10 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 17%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| ICE | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 14%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
1 match for “Democracy”; counts and timings only, no caption text.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/fox-news-sunday:2026-09-13:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=fox-news-sunday:2026-09-13:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP