All-In Podcast, September 11, 2026
On the Sep 11, 2026 episode of All-In Podcast, 6 of the 10 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI 50+ times | Yes | 125 | 125 | ✓ | 75%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 40 | 40 | ✓ | 86%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic 5+ times | Yes | 28 | 28 | ✓ | 75%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| IPO | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 85%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 67%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 62%n=4 from settlement history | – | |
| SpaceX 3+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 77%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Smartphone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Mark Zuckerberg | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · All-In Podcast podcast audio (All-In), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
6 matches for “Regulatory”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…be able to push their preferred frameworks for regulation through this new regulatory body. Okay, I have another question. So now you have this very…
…doing it with the senior leadership of the company, but again, this message is fully consistent with the doomer slash regulatory capture agenda of Anthropics.
…of them will have a different answer on who it is. Some regulatory body, the senators, some new agency, but they are centralizing control and…
…source, there is no infrastructure, corporate infrastructure to go and do the regulatory submissions and do the sort of review that's being proposed with AI.
…controlling the gas pedal, which means someone gets to say, open source is not submitting to the regulatory process, therefore we will ban open source.
Where the listed words were said
…I'm going all in. Saks, we have to talk about Anthropic. A researcher just quit over AI fears that he thinks could kill us all.
a tweet go to 150 million views since Elon said he was going to put the cocaine back in Coca-Cola, which I think was the…
…going to get into it. Evan Hubinger, who leads Alignment Science at Anthropic, responded to Jacob. Quote, Jacob is correct here. We really do earnestly…
…both of them did with Playboy, but that was well before the IPO window. And then they published it in the middle of their quiet…
…typical risks. Okay, just explain. The typical risk, Jason, that they would have had would have said competition. NVIDIA may not give us the chips.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/all-in-podcast:2026-09-11:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=all-in-podcast:2026-09-11:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP