All-In Podcast, September 11, 2026
On the Sep 11, 2026 episode of All-In Podcast, 6 of the 10 words Polymarket listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 10 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
10 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 10 of 10- Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI 50+ times | Yes | 125 | 125 | ✓ | 75%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Hundred / Thousand / Million 10+ times | Yes | 40 | 40 | ✓ | 86%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Anthropic 5+ times | Yes | 28 | 28 | ✓ | 75%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| IPO | Yes | 12 | 12 | ✓ | 85%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Nvidia | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 67%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 62%n=4 from settlement history | – | |
| SpaceX 3+ times | No | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 77%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Smartphone | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Microsoft | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Mark Zuckerberg | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsMachine transcript · All-In Podcast podcast audio (All-In), machine transcript · Source · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
28 matches for “Anthropic”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…of Kinoa. I'm going all in. Saks, we have to talk about Anthropic. A researcher just quit over AI fears that he thinks could kill…
…decade this is not a marketing stunt quote neither open ai or anthropic uh ostensibly is acting responsibly they're not acting responsibly sax quote they…
…going to get into it. Evan Hubinger, who leads Alignment Science at Anthropic, responded to Jacob. Quote, Jacob is correct here. We really do earnestly…
…one of the top few of the these EA mega donor doomer types, who also happens to be a co-lead of the Anthropic Series A.
…Where's the data? We'd love to see what you saw inside of Anthropic if somehow there's a problem there, but you won't tell us what…
Where the listed words were said
…mentioned last week, these things are now jumping from X and the AI community to the nightly news in under 24 hours, Bernie Sanders, never…
…20 years after they had the research and hit it. This is the movie The Insider. You're 100% correct. You now have legions of people
…doing it with the senior leadership of the company, but again, this message is fully consistent with the doomer slash regulatory capture agenda of Anthropics.
…both of them did with Playboy, but that was well before the IPO window. And then they published it in the middle of their quiet…
…typical risks. Okay, just explain. The typical risk, Jason, that they would have had would have said competition. NVIDIA may not give us the chips.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/all-in-podcast:2026-09-11:podcast_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=all-in-podcast:2026-09-11:podcast_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP