Fox News Sunday, August 23, 2026
On the Aug 23, 2026 episode of Fox News Sunday, 2 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
13 words · 2 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 3 | 24 | ✓ | 33%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democrat | No | 0 | 37 | ✓ | 47%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | 39%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Air Traffic Control / Air Traffic Controller | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Artemis / Moon | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| FAA | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Freedom 250 | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Game / Gamer / Gaming | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Road Trip / Great American Road Trip | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Election | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 27%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
0 matches for “Shutdown / Shut Down”.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/fox-news-sunday:2026-08-23:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=fox-news-sunday:2026-08-23:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP