Fox News: Saturday in America, August 22, 2026
On the Aug 22, 2026 episode of Fox News (interviews), 5 of the 13 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 13 settlements. Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Updated
Markets
13 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 13- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 5 | 14 | ✓ | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| FBI / Kash Patel | Yes | 3 | 6 | ✓ | 36%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | 43%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat | Yes | 1 | 15 | ✓ | 47%n=27 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration / Deport / Deportation | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 31%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Crime / Criminal | No | 0 | 6 | ✓ | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / Border | No | 0 | 11 | ✓ | 44%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| ISIS | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Weaponization / Weaponized | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bipartisan / Partisan | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Epstein | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| National Security | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 4 | ✓ | 12%n=21 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
counts and timings onlyCaptions · machine-attributed · Internet Archive TV News Archive (broadcast captions) · Source · Counts and timings only: the captions are at the Internet Archive.
0 matches for “Threat / Threatening”.
Where the listed words were said
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/fox-news-interviews:2026-08-22:tv_episode-saturday-in-america · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=fox-news-interviews:2026-08-22:tv_episode-saturday-in-america · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP