Eli Lilly (LLY): FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026

On its Aug 5, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q2), Eli Lilly said 5 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 5 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Foundayo Yes2431✓83%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 2:12, Foundayo–
Inluriyo Yes55✓68%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 9:16, Inluriyo–
LillyDirect Yes44✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 30:48, LillyDirect–
China Yes44✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 8:16, China–
Alzheimer Yes11✓86%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 10:03, Alzheimer–
Vial No00✓91%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Headwind No00✓56%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Ventyx No00✓54%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No00✓37%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Novo Nordisk No02✓35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Nvidia No00✓30%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓29%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tailwind No00✓26%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Walmart No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Pennsylvania No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

17 matches for “Mounjaro”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 6:02Hear it 5:57, Lucas Montarce

…performance. Revenue grew 48% compared to Q2 2025, driven by ZEPBOUND and MOUNJARO, with strong momentum across all therapeutic areas and geographies. Gross margin as…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 7:33Hear it 7:27, Lucas Montarce

…revenue increased 33% in Q2, primarily driven by volume growth, ZEPBOUND and MOUNJARO, as well as contributions from our Immunology, Oncology, and Neuroscience portfolio. U.S.…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 8:04Hear it 7:58, Lucas Montarce

…grew 55% in constant currency, driven by sustained strong volume growth of MOUNJARO. Europe revenue also benefited from a $250 million Jardiance milestone payment. In…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 8:30Hear it 8:24, Lucas Montarce

…rest of the world, revenue grew 136% in constant currency, driven by MOUNJARO, primarily in Latin America and Asia. On slide nine, we provide an…

Lucas Montarcecompanyprepared · 10:18Hear it 10:15, Lucas Montarce

…China and Japan contributed to growth as well. Finally, in Cardiometabolic Health, MOUNJARO and ZEPBOUND had another strong quarter combining for $14.9 billion of revenue…

Where the listed words were said

Dave Rickscompany“Foundayo” · prepared · 2:14Hear it 2:14, Dave Ricks

…portfolio. The number of people taking incretins grew, and Lilly's portfolio of medicines extended its leadership position. The U.S. Foundayo launch continued to build momentum.

Lucas Montarcecompany“Inluriyo” · prepared · 9:18Hear it 9:18, Lucas Montarce

…potential to be a foundational therapy across multiple settings and regimens within CLL. INLURIYO continued strong uptake in the metastatic breast cancer oral SERD market.

Ilya Yuffacompany“LillyDirect” · qa · 30:50Hear it 30:46, Ilya Yuffa

…to treat obesity. We continue to look for ways to expand our LillyDirect offering and make it easy for people to get access to care.

Lucas Montarcecompany“China” · prepared · 12:34Hear it 12:30, Lucas Montarce

…points of share compared to Q1 2026, reaching approximately 55%. MOUNJARO Q2 revenue growth was robust, driven by China, Korea, Germany, the U.K., and Mexico.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/eli-lilly:2026-08-05:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=eli-lilly:2026-08-05:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP