Will Eli Lilly say “China”?
Eli Lilly said “China” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 4, 4 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “China” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 91% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Eli Lilly
China
- Probability
- 91% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 8 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…revenue grew 30% in constant currency, driven by MOUNJARO and KISUNLA. In China, revenue grew by 93% in constant currency, driven by the uptake of…
…with Alzheimer's disease and accessing treatment. Outside the U.S., solid performance in China and Japan contributed to growth as well. Finally, in Cardiometabolic Health, MOUNJARO…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).
…42% in constant currency, driven by Mounjaro for type 2 diabetes. In China, revenue growth accelerated with the inclusion of Mounjaro on the National Reimbursement…
…U.S., and the strong growth of Mounjaro in Brazil, U.K., Korea, and China, among others, has resulted in additional share of market gains in Q1,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 3 in Q&A).
…US as well, driven by double-digit volume growth in Europe, Japan, and China. In the rest of the world, volume doubled, driven by the launch…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Eli Lilly say “China” on its last earnings call?
- Eli Lilly said “China” 4 times on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on each of its last 8 calls: 1, 3, 2, 2, 2, 5, 4, 4 times.
- How often does Eli Lilly say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “China” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
- What is the probability Eli Lilly says “China” next time?
- 91%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP