Will Eli Lilly say “Tariff”?

Eli Lilly did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 10, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

16%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Oct 29, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
31¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Eli Lilly

Tariff

Probability
16% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 5, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 4, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 7, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Lucas E. MontarcecompanypreparedIn transcript

…43% and 45.5% as a percentage of revenue. The potential effect of tariffs remains dynamic, and we will continue to update our estimate as the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 10 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

10 counted (9 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…repurchase. We realize there's a lot of investor focus right now on tariffs and trade, so I'll make a few comments that reflect our current…

Dave RickscompanypreparedIn transcript

…and Jobs Act are better tools to achieve their goals. The announced tariffs currently in effect do not materially change Lilly's 2025 financial outlook. However,…

Every match in the transcript

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 6, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 30, 2024 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 5, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Apr 30, 2026TariffKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Eli Lilly say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Eli Lilly did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 10, 2, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Eli Lilly say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly did not say “Tariff” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 30, 2026.
What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Tariff” next time?
16%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP