Will Eli Lilly say “Vial”?
Eli Lilly did not say “Vial” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 6, 9, 2, 4, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Vial” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 66¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Eli Lilly
Vial
- Probability
- 65% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…you cut out-of-pocket costs, you see strong growth, like Lilly's up on vials really had a quite a strong quarter in Q1, with at slightly…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…1 million patients in 2025. Our most popular offering, the Zepbound self-pay vials, now makes up one-third of new patient starts who start on any…
…US total prescription growth for Zepbound was robust, both in auto-injectors and vials. We are encouraged to see sustained growth uptake of Zepbound vials, which…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.
…71% share of new prescriptions. We saw strong uptake of Zepbound in vials, which comprise approximately 30% of total U.S. Zepbound prescriptions and over 45%…
…more offerings, whether you include being able to pick up your Zepbound vial at a local Walmart, which we announced yesterday or expanding the offering…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Eli Lilly say “Vial” on its last earnings call?
- Eli Lilly did not say “Vial” on its Aug 5, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 5, 2, 6, 9, 2, 4, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Eli Lilly say “Vial”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Eli Lilly said “Vial” on 2 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 4, 2026 (67%), most recently on Apr 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Eli Lilly says “Vial” next time?
- 65%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Eli Lilly: ‘Vial’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/LLY/words/vial (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=eli-lilly&word=vial · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=eli-lilly&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP